MTA Board Chairman: Spending State Windfall Will Provoke Tough Choices

4157572402_335d979937.jpgMTA Board Chairman Tom Nolan. Flickr photo: sfbike

On the heels of the good news from Sacramento that the San Francisco Municipal Transportation Agency (MTA), which operates Muni, will get $36 million in state funding for this fiscal year and the next, the agency’s directors must now make difficult decisions about how to spend that money: Could it mean smaller or delayed service cuts, smaller fare increases, or some of both?

Even with the state funds on the way, the MTA will have a daunting task
in filling a $55
million
budget gap in the next fiscal year and a $45
million budget gap in the year following that. Those deficits assume
10 percent service cuts — at a savings of over $28 million annually —
and the controversial proposal for a premium Fast Pass.

Mayor Gavin Newsom, the Board of Supervisors and MTA Executive Director Nat Ford have all weighed in on what they want to come off the chopping block, but the ultimate vote rests with the MTA Board.

"It was a big surprise to everybody to get the $36 million from the state — a good surprise," said MTA Board Chairman Tom Nolan. Nolan said it wasn’t a surprise, however, that everyone in San Francisco has offered a solution for spending the windfall.

The timing and severity of service cuts will likely be the most contentious issue facing the MTA Board. Since the MTA will get the $36 million from the state in a lump sum before the end of the current fiscal year, it could use the funds to cancel service cuts it approved earlier this month that go into effect in May. Those cuts were intended to help close a $16.9 million budget gap for the end of the current fiscal year, June 31.

Nolan said he’s less amenable to putting off service cuts entirely for the end of the current fiscal year, only to have to deal with them in the coming years. His preferred course of action might mean going through with service cuts approved earlier this month on the same schedule, but reducing them from 10 percent to 7 or 8 percent, and putting the savings towards avoiding deeper service cuts next year.

That would allow the MTA to preserve more service on the most heavily used lines, instead of an across-the-board cut, he said.

Another challenge is the proposal to charge a premium for monthly Fast Passes for express bus routes
and cable cars, which has drawn criticism from the Board of Supervisors. Supervisors will vote on a resolution [PDF] opposing the premium passes next week. Because the supervisors have the final vote on fare changes, and because the passes would only net $1.8 million annually, Nolan said he doesn’t plan to
contradict their decision.

"[The supervisors] have already indicated they don’t want to do that," said Nolan.
"If they’re not going to do it, there’s no reason for us to continue to
put it in there. That’s not a huge amount of money anyway."

Even if the agency cuts service and introduces the premium passes as planned, the state funds will still only bring its deficits down to $19 million and $13.6 million in the next two years. Without the premium pass change and with a smaller service cut of 7 percent, those deficits could each grow by over $10
million
.

That’s all the more reason not to spend the initial $36 million right away, argued Nolan. "Some of the more draconian things, take them out," he said. "But save the bulk of it for next year, because July 1 [the beginning of the next fiscal year] is going to be here very, very soon."

"I wouldn’t be surprised if some version of my view prevails — not because it’s my view," he added, "but just
knowing the members of the board."

  • “Could it mean smaller or delayed service cuts, smaller fare increases, or some of both?”

    Considering the $36 million is more than the amount saved by the cuts or generated by the fare increases, it could mean no cuts or fare increases

    But my money (quite literally) is on the MTA taking the hard-fought and watered-down revenue measure off the table first.

  • Sorry, Josh, it’s confusing because of fiscal years ending mid-calendar year. There is a 16.9 million deficit up to June 31 and a $55 million deficit from July 1, 2010 to June 31 2011 ($72 million total through FY 2010-2011). There is only $36 million coming from the state through June 31, 2011. So the state money isn’t enough to cover the deficits.

    If the state hadn’t been raiding the STA, MTA would have gotten more than $78 million this fiscal year and next, enough to prevent cuts and increases.

  • I was under the impression that the $36 mil was for this fiscal year then we’d get $45 for FY 10-11. Makes sense – shitty sense, but sense none the less. Thanks GOV! How’s that Hummer driving these days?

    And why doesn’t Nolan just take the preimum fastpass off the table now since “that’s not a huge amount of money anyway.” Because he is using it to redirect people’s anger from the 10% cuts. Oh wait, only 8% now. Thank his majesty Nolan for blessing us with a few more buses.

    “Please sir, I want some more.”
    “WHAT?!”
    “Please sir, I want some more.”
    “MORE?!?!”

  • The legislation gives a $400 million one-time allocation statewide, of which the MTA has a $36 million share. The next chunk of money then comes in FY12, which the MTA has said its share of is $31.4 million.

    What I believe Josh’s point was, though, if I read it correctly, was not that the State’s allocation would eliminate the entire deficit, but rather, that the allocation is at least enough to cover the savings anticipated by the 10% service cut. That is, the $36 million covers the $33.3 million savings through FY11; and then the $31.4 million covers the $28.5 million annual savings thereafter (assuming this money from the State even lasts that long).

  • transbay, I still think the bottom line is that there is only $36M coming from the state through FY11 and there will be $72M deficit through that time, no?

  • patrick

    “That would allow the MTA to preserve more service on the most heavily used lines, instead of an across-the-board cut, he said.”

    This should already have been part of the service cuts plan, it makes no sense to cut the highest revenue routes as much as the low revenue routes.

  • It also makes no sense to only rely on cuts to balance they budget. The parking issue needs to be addressed and the MTA board will use this money to ignore it for as long as possible.

  • I hope it is spent in a manner to help position the agency to increase revenues sustainably in the future or to decrease long-term costs. If it is just used to offset costs in the immediate fiscal year, that seems like a wasted opportunity to me.

  • Fran Taylor

    Whaddya bet the MTA just uses the money as an excuse to avoid implementing Sunday parking meters?

  • Transbay explains my point correctly. The money saved from the cuts and generated from the fare hikes is less than enough to cover each year’s deficit. Some action would still need to be taken sonce, as Matthew Roth points out, the money coming in is still not as much as the deficits each year. But the revenue measures under consideration as well as other cost-savings that have already been approved can make up the remaining gap.

    We’ve already cut enough.

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